Baseball, Commentary, News, Paid Content

Roki Sasaki’s challenge

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There is no real news about Lotte pitcher Roki Sasaki today and the “will he or won’t he” move to MLB via the posting system before he turns 25, but when has that stopped people from commenting about such things?

Before going into the weeds, it’s easy to see why this story gets peoples’ hackles up. It’s about a Japanese player who is under contract with a team in Japan wanting to leave that club so he can go play in MLB even when his club has no desire and no obvious incentive to allow it.

Although the specific details of the Sasaki story are unprecedented, the responses echo two similar situations in the past, when the balance of power between an individual player, his team, and the top-down structure of NPB was challenged in ways few at the time thought possible.

Here are the publicly known incontrovertible facts:

  • Moving to MLB via the posting system requires a team’s consent
  • International professionals signing MLB contracts before they are 25 may only sign minor league deals with signing bonuses limited to a few million dollars.
  • Overseas players with six seasons of professional experience who are 25 or older have no restrictions on the value of their MLB contracts. The Orix Buffaloes could potentially receive over $50 million in fees from Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s move this winter to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • Posting fees paid to teams are calculated as a fraction of the value of the contract actually paid, and a team posting a player prior to his 25th birthday cannot expect even $1 million in exchange for releasing him.

The current posting fee calculations went into effect in December 2017, when the only NPB star posted before his 25th birthday, Shohei Ohtani, moved to MLB. But prior to NPB and MLB agreeing to the new rules, his team, the Nippon Ham Fighters, received an exemption to receive the previous maximum posting fee of $20 million, instead of the $700,000 or so they would have received under the new rules.

Unlike the Fighters, the Marines stand to lose in the area of $29 million if Sasaki is posted before his 25th birthday. Leaving aside the question of why the Marines would post a player before he turns 25, let’s talk about the responses to the whole issue.

Continue reading Roki Sasaki’s challenge →
Baseball, Commentary, History, Paid Content

A lot has changed, Part 3

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This is the story of three men, and how they helped revolutionize Japanese baseball. In so doing, they created a space for the kind of individual pursuit of excellence that Shohei Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto have engaged in and been rewarded for.

Their huge contracts this winter, as surprising as they are now, would have seemed impossible to those watching Japanese pro baseball in the 1980s.

This is the third part of a series discussing the transformation of Japanese pro baseball.

Part 1 outlined how NPB has continued to grow and thrive:

  • Through unintended consequences of owners trying to restructure the existing domestic balance of power
  • Through effort of individuals working on their own and eventually with others to create new paradigms within obsolete structures.
  • Through a collective effort by players to combat owners’ abuse of power

Part 2 is about how owners’ efforts to petrify a system and ensure their control, set in motion a set of circumstances that ensured players would strike out on their own for MLB.

Don’t get me wrong, the baseball of the era was fun and the players entertaining, but it was being portrayed as a morality lesson on the purity of playing for one run, and the absolute necessity of executing boringly predictable tactics.

Today’s story starts in the 1960s, a free-wheeling era for Japanese baseball and discusses Tatsuro Hirooka’s attempt to rein in the chaos of his time and perfect the game. It’s about a quiet counterrevolution, where his contemporary, Akira Ogi, presented an alternative view of baseball that unleashed the unique Ichiro Suzuki, whose impact resounds to this day.

Shadow of the past

The Yomiuri Giants “V9” dynasty of nine straight Japan Series championships under manager Tetsuharu Kawakami not only generated generations of fans, but also created a massive cadre of coaches who fanned out to spread the lessons of the Giants’ success across the breadth of NPB.

Kawakami’s Giants were powered by the ability of Yomiuri to outspend every other team for amateur talent and were built around two of Japan’s greatest stars, third baseman Shigeo Nagashima and first baseman Sadaharu Oh. As players did then, both Nagashima and Oh developed their own styles, and mastered them.

When Yomiuri’s dynasty crashed in the mid-1970s due to the competitive balance ushered in by the draft, and the replacement of Kawakami with newly retired superstar Nagashima, former Giants rushed in to explain how baseball could progress if it learned the lessons of the past and refined successful tactics, approaches, and techniques to their ultimate form.

Continue reading A lot has changed, Part 3 →

writing & research on Japanese baseball

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