Tag Archives: Hirokazu Sawamura

Strikes, Trackman, the Giants, & the 9

Last week “The Curious Case of Giant Strikes” detailed how the Yomiuri Giants were so good at getting called strikes in 0-0 and 1-0 counts from 2009 to 2019 that they could make the rest of NPB look like amateurs.

The Giants aren’t the only team whose strike rate on pitches taken by hitters was unusual over a period of time in some counts, but they were the most extreme. The data is confusing, but thanks to a reader’s suggestion that I look at individual players, umpires and home-road splits, I discovered some more interesting stuff.

My first study was focused on the period of Yomiuri’s extreme superiority in 0-0 counts between 2009 and 2019, but between looking at players and umpires, and trying different things with the program I used to model thousands of randomly generated seasons, three things eventually jumped out at me:

  1. The real break occurred at the start of the 2018 season.
  2. Yomiuri’s most unlikely advantage was not in 0-0 counts as originally expected, but in 1-0 counts, while its pre-2018 dominance in 2-1, and 1-1 counts was also more impressive than its results on first-pitch called strikes.
  3. Although not a lot of pitchers worked many innings for both Yomiuri and other clubs during the 2009-2022 period in which I have data for, nine did. And as a group, these nine had an easier time getting called 1-0 strikes when they played for the Giants than for other teams.

Here’s looking at you, ump

In 2018, 11 teams, excluding the infamously penurious Hiroshima Carp, began sharing data from the Trackman pitch tracking systems they had installed in their main parks, so that Nippon Professional Baseball could use it for “umpire evaluation and improvement.”

Continue reading Strikes, Trackman, the Giants, & the 9

NPB news: June 3, 2023

Happy Roki Eve to all who celebrate.

Sasaki will get his first interleague start Sunday at Koshien against the Tigers with Lotte in a virtual tie for first with Orix, who came from behind thanks to some late pinch-hitting heroics, while there were plenty of squeezes and lots of runs at Jingu Stadium and more home run power from the surprising Gosuke Kato.

Holding out for a Hiro

Not only will Sasaki be part of a tasty matchup with Hiroto Saiki, and if Bonnie Tyler is still holding out for a hero, Hiroto Takahashi will start for the Dragons against Japan WBC teammate Hiroya Miyagi. So, we’ll be practically lousy with Hiros.

Saturday’s games

Giants 3, Fighters 2, 10 innings: At Tokyo Dome, Yomiuri’s Foster Griffin and Nippon Ham’s Hiromi Ito each allowed a run over seven innings. Hayato Sakamoto’s third-inning RBI double put the Giants ahead. New Fighter Gosuke Kato hit his fourth home run in five games to tie it in the fourth. Lewis Brinson singled off a tough 0-2 pitch off veteran lefty Naoki Miyanishi in the eight, but Nippon Ham tied it with a ninth-inning squeeze against closer Taisei Ota (2-0, who left the bases jammed and worked the 10th to get the win, when Kazuma Okamoto doubled in a runner from first.

Carp 4, Hawks 2: At New Hiroshima Citizens Stadium, Shuta Ishikawa (3-2) walked two over six innings, not many for him, but they cost him a first-inning run that scored on a Ryoma Nishikawa infield single, when the Carp couldn’t get the ball out of the infield.

The Hawks, too, couldn’t do much against Masato Morishita (2-1), not getting a ball out of the infield until a flyout ended the fifth inning. The right-hander worked seven scoreless innings, and squeezed home a run in the sixth. The Carp offense then rinsed and repeated in a two-run seventh, two walks setting up a Nishikawa RBI single and another run scoring on a squeeze.

Takuya Yasaki allowed the Hawks to load the bases in the ninth and gave up an RBI single to Masaki Mimori. Sotaro Shimauchi surrendered Akira Nakamura’s sac fly for the first out, and then reloaded the bases before retiring the two toughest Hawks, Kensuke Kondo and Yuki Yanagita to end it for his first career save.

Swallows 9, Eagles 5: At Jingu Stadium, with Tetsuto Yamada, batting leadoff for the second straight game, and Norichika Aoki in Yamada’s No. 3 spot, Yakult’s offense exploded for eight early runs. Aoki hit a two-run first-inning homer off Takahisa Hayakawa (2-3) and Yamada hit a second-inning grand slam. Jose Osuna and Domingo Santana each singled in a run for the Swallows.

Lefty Dillon Peters (1-1) gave up four runs over five innings to earn the win.

Buffaloes 5, Dragons 1 At Nagoya Dome, Chunichi’s Takahiro Matsuba allowed his former team one hit and no walks over five innings and left with a 1-0 lead after Takaya Ishikawa doubled in Kenta Bright in the first. Orix lefty Sachiya Yamasaki (3-2), however, worked six innings and picked up the win after a five-run seventh inning. Marwin Gonzalez’s pinch-hit single tied it, and Keita Nakagawa’s two-run pinch-hit double put the Buffaloes in front.

Taishi Hirooka, recently acquired in a trade with the Giants, singled in two more to ice it.

Tigers 6, Marines 5, 11 innings: At Koshien Stadium, the CL-leading Hanshin Tigers made it hard on themselves after errors and an off-night for closer Atsuki Iwasa cost Kotaro Otake his seventh win of the season.

Yusuke Oshima cranked a three-run first-inning homer, his fifth, off Atsuki Taneichi (3-3), who left trailing by a run after Lotte second-chancer Seiichiro Oshita hit a two-run pinch-hit homer to chase Hanshin second-chancer Otake in the seventh.

Suguru Iwazaki worked a 1-2-3 eighth, and the Tigers hitters took out two runs of insurance from Hirokazu Sawamura. Koji Chikamoto walked, Takumu Nakano tripled and Sheldon Neuse made it 5-2 with a sac fly. The triple was the Tigers’ third hit of the game, but Marines pitchers issued six walks, three of which resulted in runs, while Lotte hitters had nine hits but no walks.

The Marines tied it in the ninth against Yuasa on an error, two hard-hit singles, a one-out Hiromi Oka double and a Yudai Fujioka two-run single. A two-out error on Nakano at second put the go-ahead run on second but Yuasa survived with the score tied.

Teruaki Sato singled to open the ninth for Hanshin. Ryutaro Umeno singled to put runners on the corners, and Ryuhei Obata singled to end it.

Deniers 6, Lions 2: At Yokohama Stadium, Yota Kyoda, whose tenure with the Chunichi Dragons reached its nadir last year when he was pulled off the field and ordered to report to the minors during the Dragons’ game in Yokohama, went 4-for-4 with a double, singled in the game’s first run and scored the tie-breaker, while Taiki Sekine went 2-for-4 with a double, a run and an RBI.

DeNA’s graduate of MLB’s sexual assault suspension program allowed two home runs over eight innings, improved to 2-2 and lowered his ERA to 5.59.

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