Welcome to the first projections for the remainder of the 2022 season as we approach the half-way mark.

These are based on two things, each team’s current record as the point of departure, and runs scored and allowed, which are the best predictor of future wins. They are then put into a league framework, since with interleague out of the way, the maximum number of wins left in each league is known.

It’s Monday and the big deal today was the draft, also today I’ve got projections for the remainder of the pennant race, roster moves and starting pitchers for Tuesday’s games, so let’s get to it.