Tag Archives: Lotte Marines

Scout Diary: Jan. 31, 2020 – Pacific League’s best outfield tools

The search for the best outfield defensive tools on the planet brings us to Japan’s Pacific League and the top three in the 2019 voting for the three outfield Golden Gloves. I thought it would be easier to select a PL winner than in the CL, but I was wrong.

  • Shogo Akiyama, Lions 秋山 翔吾
  • Takashi Ogino, Marines 荻野 貴司
  • Haruki NIshikawa, Fighters 西川 遥輝

Shogo Akiyama

Collection of Shogo Akiyama catches
Best PL throws from the outfield, starting with Akiyama at 1:07.

By default, Akiyama, whose metrics have been slipping year by year, is the PL winner of the tools challenge. Despite the ubiquity of PL TV, the league’s streaming service, I’m simply unable to find any video collections of Takashi Ogino or Haruki Nishikawa. Those who are interested more on Nishikawa can find my profile of him HERE, since he has expressed an interest in playing in the majors.

If you are interested in the new Cincinnati Reds outfielder, my profile of the former Lions captain is HERE.

Conclusion and admission

My outfield tools surveys of four leagues, the National, American, Central and Pacific, has produced four finalists:

  • Lorenzo Cain, Milwaukee Brewers
  • Jackie Bradley, Jr, Boston Red Sox
  • Seiya Suzuki, Hiroshima Carp
  • Shogo Akiyama, Seibu Lions

My choice for the best outfield tools in the world goes to Jackie Bradley Jr. of the Boston Red Sox. If I had to pick No. 2 it would be Kevin Kiermaier of the Tampa Bay Rays.

Rationale

I tried to evaluate every outfielder on the following criteria:

  • arm strength
  • accuracy
  • release
  • jumps
  • speed
  • judgment at the wall

I omitted “good hands” from consideration because all the candidates are exceptional at catching the ball. But having said that, Bradley is as good at that as anyone I’ve seen — and I grew up watching Willie Mays. I am hesitant to give out an 80 score, but let’s call it a 75.

Based on the video above, I’ve rated his arm strength is 75, his accuracy a 70. His footwork is as good as Kiermaier’s which is the best I’ve seen. But there’s a cherry on top, the grace and speed at which he transitions from catching to throwing is an 80. Again, he’s not AS good at scaling outfield walls as Lorenzo Cain, but nobody is. Having said that, Bradley is pretty darn close.

The other special thing about him is his jumps. He appears to be in motion before the batter swings. His raw speed gives him incredible range when he is right, and allows him to make up for guessing wrong.

An admission

I have less confidence in my Japanese choices in the outfield than I had in the infield, because while I’ve seen these guys a fair amount, I’ve been a writer, not a scout.

I’m trying to change that, of course, and my podcast colleague John E. Gibson could give a far more educated opinion about tools, because that has always been an after thought. Until now, my thinking has been, ‘Does he make the play or not? How often does he make plays? What are the context of the plays he made or didn’t make? Are they part of the story of this game or the story of that player or of Japanese baseball.

Gibson likes to talk about tools, but for the most part, they pretty much didn’t enter into my calculus. Which is kind of odd in a way, since the greater part of sports writing in Japan is obsessed with technical minutia about tools and skills. I preferred to write about how people grew and learned rather than why they decided to move their hands apart when the gripped the bat.

Anyway, I hope to remedy that indifference to specific skills going forward.

Roki Sasaki scouting report

Roki Sasaki

As part of my practice writing scouting reports and learning the language of scouting, I simply had to cover 100-mph pitcher Roki Sasaki, who was named by four NPB teams as their top draft pick in October.

(Current ability – future projection)

  • Fastball 80 – 80
  • Command 50 – 60
  • Slider 40 – 50
  • Splitter 40 – 50
  • Curve 30 – 40
  • Poise 50 – 60
  • Baseball Instinct 50 – 50
  • Aggressiveness 50 – 50

Arm Action: Fluid, smooth, Delivery: High 3/4

Physical Description

Looks like Charlie Morton (Rays). Loose, effortless delivery. Tests in H.S. revealed lower than normal bone density, suggesting he’s still growing, and coach took extra care for that reason.

High leg kick, repeatable delivery.

Weaknesses

Command of splitter and fastball is inconsistent. Poor depth on slider.

Strengths

Fastball rises with amazing arm-side run — particularly on right side of plate. Touches 100 mph. Knows how to pitch, can get batters to chase or tie them up on the hands.

Has tight spinning slider and another with more depth. The splitter drops straight down but showed poor command.

Summation

Has been clocked at 101.3 MPH. Plus makeup. Devoted to his family as “man of the house” since his father died when he was nine in the 2011 earthquake/tsunami.

Apparently wanted to play for Nippon Ham — the team that posted Yu Darvish and Shohei Ohtani, while neither of the two NPB teams that refuse to post players drafted him. 

He WILL BE POSTED as early as 2025. In America, he’d be in an elite draft slot.