Tag Archives: Yuki Yanagita

The deal that killed Tsuneo Watanabe

We know now that Tsuneo Watanabe died at the age of 98 on Dec. 19, but what wasn’t widely reported were the circumstances of his death. In the Yomiuri’s generalissimo the Giants were coming off their first league championship in four years but had failed to make it out of the playoffs.

I can imagine a scenario where some team executives, keen to appease the irascible but still very much alive Watanabe, did what he had done 30 years earlier and began stocking the Giants with every big name they could find in hopes of buying a championship.

This offseason, the Giants acquired Japan’s most effective closer over the past few years, Cuban Raidel Martinez, and followed that by signing veteran catcher Takuya Kai and former Yankees ace Masahiro Tanaka.

Tanaka’s contract was leaked as being worth about a million dollars for one year, which could be a bargain if the 36-year-old is any good at all. Kai, who won his seventh Golden Glove this year, I’m guessing because SoftBank won the pennant, used to be the best catcher in Japan at throwing out would-be base stealers, but he hasn’t been among the best in years.

The story continues. Read on if you want to access Kai and every other catcher’s records against base stealers since 1950…

Kai joins a Giants team that had three players each catch 40-plus games and his skills are not all that different from that of Yukinari Kishida, who caught the most last year and who is four years younger.

I have a suspicion that if Watanabe looked as his team paid Kai, who looks like a spare wheel at this stage of his career, three million dollars a year for five years, the old coot may have begun shouting at the people who broke the news, had a heart attack and died.

I am a big fan of Kai’s. He was part of a 2010 Hawks draft class most notable for second-round pick Yuki Yanagita, the 24th player taken overall. SoftBank hit the jackpot again with the 90th, 92nd and 94th picks – in the supplemental developmental draft: Kodai Senga, Taisei Makihara and Kai.

If you want to see where Kai stands in his ability to throw out base stealers over his career, I’ll present you with a searchable database of every NPB catcher’s record since 1950. Have fun with it.

As I have time, more and more of this kind of data will be made available to subscribers.

Catchers CS

Individual catchers CS, 1950 to 2024

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Where’s Yoshinobu?

Thanks to all those who replied on twitter.com to the Central League and Pacific League award ballots I filed Sunday. They generated a lot of interest, primarily about the complete absence of CL home run and RBI leader Kazuma Okamoto of the Giants and Orix Buffaloes ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto failing to get even a third-place vote for PL MVP.

One twitter.com reader wrote in Japanese: “It’s his personal opinion, of course, but I thought, “Kensuke Kondo MVP??? ” Other than that his ballot was normal.”

In another post, I explained the process that led me to omit Okamoto, who I’d have given a fifth-place MVP vote if we had those to give. Now, it’s time to turn my attention to the pitcher who has led the PL in wins, strikeouts and ERA for the past three seasons, and is now likely to be the PL’s MVP for the third straight year.

My estimates start by getting a run and home run adjustment for each team’s playing environment in 2023, that allows me to estimate how many runs a team scores and saves beyond an expected bare minimum. The relationship between marginal runs scored and saved determines how many of each team’s wins are credited to offense on one side, and pitching and defense on the other side.

Continue reading Where’s Yoshinobu?