Tag Archives: NPB

NPB left in the lurch

This is the third part of an observation of how NPB’s hitting populations are different from how they are in the majors.

After Tom Tango (@tangotiger) commented that the populations of left-handed and right-handed hitters in MLB are essentially the same when batting with the platoon advantage since 2011, I began looking at NPB that way, comparing performances only with the platoon advantage.

In the previous studies, I excluded foreign hitters, switch hitters and pitchers (sorry Shohei). To get a broader look at how MLB and NPB compare left to right, I’ve included everyone.

Big numbers

Org.LHB+ PARHB+ PALHB+ Percentage
NPB233,586286,96944.9
MLB629,795846,83542.7
LHB+ includes switch hitters batting against RHP, while RHB+ includes switch hitters batting against LHP.

The table below show how similar MLB’s left- and right-handed hitting populations are with the platoon advantage since 2011. Right across the board, the slash lines for hitters with platoon advantages are about as close as you can get.

MLB LHB, RHB with platoon advantage, 2011-2018

PAABH2B3BHRBBKBAOBPSLGOPSHBPSF
RHB+286,427256,01966,60613,7371,1968,31624,65256,712.260.328.421.7481,9231,856
LHB+511,532454,808117,17123,6082,97214,27147,03399,412.258.330.417.7473,6723,305
These numbers came from Baseball Reference.

While the home run frequency in NPB is significantly lower all around, it is particularly obvious among batters swinging from the left side of the plate. The isolated power (slugging average minus batting average) of RHBs and switch hitters vs LHP is .139. For LHBs and switch hitters vs RHP, the isolated power is .111.

NPB LHB, RHB with platoon advantage, 2011-2018

PAABH2B3BHRBBKBAOBPSLGOPSHBPSF
RHB+91,49480,28620,4223,7652982,2797,77916,373.254.323.394.717667521
LHB+177,531156,91740,9976,7929802,86814,93430,842.261.329.372.7001,281968
Results of individual plate appearances by LHB and switch hitters vs RHP, and RHB and switch hitters vs LHB in NPB from 2011 to 2018

Playing the percentages

The following table shows how left-handed hitters with a platoon edge compare percentage-wise with right-handed hitters. The categories are: Singles, doubles, triples and home runs as a percentage of hits, strikeouts as a percentage of plate appearances, and at-bats per home run.

MLB percentages

MLB1B pct2B pct3B pctHR pctK pctHR rate
RHB+.65.21.018.125.19830.8
LHB+.65.20.025.122.19431.9
Percentage of total hits by: singles, doubles, triples, home runs. Strikeouts per PA. ABs per HR.

NPB percentages

NPB1B pct2B pct3B pctHR pctK pctHR rate
RHB+.690.184.015.112.17935.2
LHB+.741.166.024.070.17454.7
Percentage of total hits by: singles, doubles, triples, home runs. Strikeouts per PA. ABs per HR.

Boras: Kikuchi interest “intense”

Agent Scott Boras tells a throng of reporters at the winter meetings in Las Vegas about his clients.

 

LAS VEGAS – Agent Scott Boras called the interest in Seibu Lions left-hander Yusei Kikuchi “intense” on Wednesday, when he held court at baseball’s winter meetings.

Kikuchi has been on the market since Dec. 5, has already had his physical, and is expected to arrive in Los Angeles in the coming days, Boras said.




“He’s the only 27-year-old left-handed starting pitcher on the market,” Boras said “He’s viewed very differently, because of the acquistion cost. You have to pay a posting fee. Clubs feel he has a very fresh arm, unlike a lot of Japanese pitchers. He did not throw in NPB at 18 or 19, so he has very limited innings compared to some of the other Japanese pitchers that have come over.”

“We think the teams are very aware of his value. Remember, too, that a Japanese pitcher of reputation may offer major league teams an economic incentive. Because there’s a lot about the partnership with Japanese companies that bring value. They’re very pleased about having in their market place a star Japanese player.”

Kikuchi has been deactivated three times when the Seibu Lions attributed the reason as shoulder issues:

When he was left off the Opening Day roster in his first year (2010) and was not activated until the end of September.
When he missed one start in the middle of the 2013 season.
When he missed five weeks at the start of this past season with shoulder stiffness.

“People write that he’s had a history of shoulder trouble, but that is not accurate,” a member of Boras’ staff said.




When he was Daisuke Matsuzaka’s agent in 2006, Boras reportedly encouraged Matsuzaka to turn down a last-minute offer from the Boston Red Sox and return to his Japanese club, the same Seibu Lions. But at that time, posted players were limited to speaking with the lone team that bid the highest for his negotiating rights in a closed bid.

“If we strike a deal we could have it done in a short period of time,” Boras said. “We’re still negotiating,” Boras said. “Normally, you get things done in advance of a deadline, because that makes it a little more difficult. I’m sure he’ll have a deal before Jan. 2.”

“We’ve had many meetings. We have all of his physicals in order for the team. And all that’s final. He’s ready to sign at any time.”

More posts on Yusei Kikuchi: