Tag Archives: Yusei Kikuchi

Sasaki move means NPB needs a change

Roki Sasaki’s posting at the age of 23 is a wonderful opportunity for a player who has tremendous talent and who I believe is not taking it for granted that a huge MLB payday will still be within his reach two years from now.

It is, however, a problem for Nippon Professional Baseball, unless we take what Lotte Marines at their word, that they are happily giving up one of the nation’s greatest pitching talents for a million dollars and change because it feels right to them.

Unfortunately, dealing with this problem is going to take the kind of clever strategic thinking NPB rarely displays, either by negotiating a solution with its union or with MLB, which has frequently rewritten the posting system rules to suit its needs.

“I tell them, every time you sit down in New York with these people (MLB), the big leagues benefit as a league, their clubs benefit, the Japanese players benefit, and you guys (NPB) justĀ bend overĀ and take it.”

— NPB team executive in 2016

I don’t have objective proof that Roki Sasaki signed a contract as an 18-year-old amateur that contractually obligated the Marines to post him at the drop of his hat, but that is the best explanation for Lotte donating a player who makes millions of dollars a year for them to MLB.

I assume such a contract exists in the same way I assume that a guy running out of a bank with bags of money under his arm while alarm bells ring indicates the likely occurrence of a bank robbery.

The interesting thing is that while people allude to the possibility that such a contract might exist, pundits here blamed Sasaki for having the temerity to enforce it rather than the wisdom of having that huge loophole coexist with a posting system that rewards MLB teams for poaching Japan’s youngest stars.

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The numbers behind this year’s dead ball

When the players union met with Nippon Professional Baseball in a working group meeting over the union demands, the surprise for the union was NPB having nothing to say about the baseball, how nothing had been done to change it.

Home runs through Sunday’s games in NPB are down 59 percent, not from last year, not just from last year from March to May, but from the previous three years prior to June. This isn’t something that happens by accident.

That only proves that NPB has been studying MLB’s ball manipulation. When home runs and pitcher blisters surged in 2018, astrophysicist Dr. Meredith Wills discovered that MLB — despite denials that its balls had not been changed — was using balls stitched with thicker and stronger yarn — that made them more aerodynamic.

When asked about the balls then, commissioner Rob Manfred said he would never mess with baseballs after NPB’s secret shift in 2013 from a dead ball to a more normal one had cost commissioner Ryuzo Kato his job.

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