Category Archives: Paid Content

Better red AND dead

A week or so ago, author Robb Fitts posed a two-part question to our podcast about whether there was data to support my assertion that the ball being used in NPB in recent weeks was actually livelier than the ball in play from the start of the season, and if so, does that account for the Carp’s late-season lack of buoyancy.

The ball has been changed

In short, the answer to the first question is “most likely.” The ball in play now is deader than the ball in play at this time of year the past three seasons, but is nothing like the disaster of a ball that NPB began the season with.

Prior to July 1 this season, 3.7 percent of balls that went out of the infield were home runs. From 2021 to 2023, the percentage was 5.9 percent, 36.6 percent less often. I didn’t include 2020 because the season didn’t start until June 19 because of the pandemic.

From Aug. 15 to Sept. 13, the percentage of balls into the outfield that reached the seats this year was 5 percent. In the previous three years it was 6 percent, a decrease of just 16.8 percent.

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2024: NPB’s summer of “fascism”

Twenty years ago today, on Thursday, Sept. 9, Nippon Professional Baseball was forced to take part in an official negotiation regarding the Nippon Professional Baseball Players Association’s demands to stop the merger of the Orix BlueWave and Kintetsu Buffaloes.

It was a historic point in the clash between baseball players, fans and the leaders of an established business used to being treated with deference by employees, customers and the media. It came about because of what one longtime former team executive, Yasuyuki Sakai, called “an unscrupulous effort at union busting that smacked of fascism.”

The 12 owners had refused to discuss the union’s demands after the Nikkei Shimbun broke the news of the merger on June 13. The momentum for a merger began after the owners in February, led by the Giants’ Tsuneo “Nabetsune” Watanabe, rejected Kintetsu’s plan to sell the Buffaloes’ naming rights.

Watanabe, said publicly that such a move was against the rules, but as with so many of his pronouncements, it was just something he made up. (1)

Watanabe, had long wanted to contract Japanese pro baseball from 12 teams, believing that too many teams diluted the product, and this was a chance to realize that. It would be difficult to operate a league without an even number of teams, as had occurred in 1951 and 1952 after one of the CL’s eight founding teams, Fukuoka’s Nishi Nihon Pirates, went out of business after one season and created a seven-team league.

In an early taste of NPB’s future political politics, the best Pirates players wound up playing for Yomiuri in the subsequent reshuffle, and after one year of struggling with a seven-team setup, the CL owners decided to contract after the 1952 season.

In that plan, 1952’s last-place team would be forced out via a merger. The Hiroshima Carp, currently battling for the CL pennant, finished sixth, 3-1/2 games ahead of the 1950 champion Shochiku Robins, who merged with the Taiyo Whales to become the Taiyo Shochiku Robins in 1953.

But in 2004, teams began jockeying for possible merger partners, in the hope of creating one strong team out of two weaker ones in a new 10-team or even eight-team single league. Word of this broke on July 7, when Seibu Lions owner Yoshiaki Tsutsumi revealed that to the public.

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