Ichiro Suzuki is some day going to be the first player to begin his career in NPB and end up in MLB’s Hall of Fame. Akinori Iwamura won’t make it, but people familiar with his career in Japan know what a good ballplayer he was.
I recently re-added the minor league batting and pitching data from 1991 to 2001 to my data base — I lost my originals about 20 years ago in a hard disk crash — and asked which under-20 minor league hitter (minimum 200 PA) had the best seasons with offensive winning percentages over .700.
- Ichiro Suzuki (19.2 years old), Orix 1993, 214 PA, .883
- Akinori Iwamura (18.9), Yakult 1998, 430, .810
- Seiji Uebayashi (19.4), SoftBank 2015, 332, .799
- Akinori Iwamura (17.9), Yakult 1997, 297, .785
- Ichiro Suzuki (18.2 years old), Orix 1992, 270, .784
- Kensuke Kondo (19.4), Nippon Ham 2013, 227, .781
- Tomoya Mori (18.4), Seibu 2014, 257, .755
- Hisashi Takayama (19.1) Seibu 2001, 343, .708
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Suzuki took a nice jump forward in 1993 and the next year took another when he won the first of his three straight PL MVP Awards. Most of the rest of the guys you know, although some of you may have forgotten Hisashi Takayama. He was an outfielder without outstanding speed or power and had one chance to play regularly at the age of 28 in 2010, when he played quite well, but was otherwise a guy on the fringe. Takayama’s minor league season at the age of 20 was the 10th best by a player aged 20-21 since 1991, so it’s fair to say Seibu REALLY missed the boat on him.
When Hisanobu Watanabe was promoted from farm manager in 2008, Takayama was one of the guys he gave a shot to in the spring, but at the age of 26 he needed an ally and didn’t have one. Then batting coach Hiromoto “Dave” Okubo, wasn’t a fan of Takayama’s and insisted on keeping hustling and likeable-but-underqualified Kenta Matsusaka as his right-handed-hitting platoon outfielder.
Uebayashi, who is mentioned here, is someone who lacks some plate discipline but who does everything else fairly well but has yet to break into SoftBank’s regular lineup. Had he played for Nippon Ham, however, like Kensuke Kondo, he’d no doubt have a job by now. Mori, it seems is caught in a crunch as well, he’s probably a better hitter than the other guys who are taking his playing time, but he needs to go out and prove.
The best minor league season for a player aged 20 was by Lotte’s Toshiaki Imae in 2004, a year before he became the Marines’ regular third baseman for a decade. At age 21, the best was by Ken Suzuki of the Seibu Lions in 1991. Suzuki went on to be a DH-third baseman for the Lions pennant-winning teams in ’97 and ’98 and a corner infielder with Yakult in 2001.
The best by a 22-year-old was by Timoniel Perez of the Hiroshima Carp, only it wasn't, since the future big leaguer turned out to have been 25 at the time. After him was Taiga Egoshi of the Hanshin Tigers last season, and who finishes a hair ahead of Yuki Yanagita at the same age -- before Yanagita spent two months in the Puerto Rican Winter League working on his timing with future Hall of Famer Ivan Rodriguez.
What one notices about these lists is that they are comprised of three kinds of players. 1) Those who had really good careers or whose careers were cut short by injury -- like Osamu Hamanaka, 2) Those whose chance is yet to come, and 3) those who never got a chance to play.
One of those guys was Ryusuke Minami, the best of the 23-year-olds in 2005 with the Yokohama BayStars. Most of the guys here are fellows who have a defensive short-coming that hinders their finding a slot. The following season, Minami was acquired by Lotte, and was practicing when Marines analyst Paul Pupo -- or maybe it was coach Frank Rampen, I don't recall -- said, "Hey, you want to see what a plus arm looks like, watch this." He meant that Minami was about to make a throw during practice. His arm and his offense were on his side, but he never batted 100 times with the first team -- even with Lotte, who actually believed in him.