Tag Archives: SoftBank Hawks

Boras exaggerates but ain’t wrong

On Thursday in Newport Beach, California, agent Scott Boras described Nippon Professional Baseball as Major League Baseball’s developmental opposite — an environment where minor leaguers get special attention and focus in a nurturing environment that puts the North American minors to shame.

In some ways he was right and some ways he was overstating the case. The SoftBank Hawks — whom pitcher Carter Stewart has signed with — fit this description, but they are far from the norm.

SoftBank isn’t the same as NPB

The Hawks are unusual in Japan, the only one of Japan’s 12 pro clubs to even consider the possibility that their team could evolve into being best in the world. But while Boras talked about how advanced the development system in Japan is, he was really talking about SoftBank.

Boras had it right when he praised the standard of living in NPB’s minor leagues. Every team’s players are fed well and earn real wages, allowing them to really focus on baseball. For players who are humble, serious and smart enough to know what they want, it is a superb environment to develop in.

At the press conference, Stewart spoke about how impressed he was with Shohei Ohtani. During his time with the Nippon Ham Fighters, Ohtani was absolutely devoted to developing his craft, constantly working and training and seldom venturing out of the dorm.

Japan is big on discipline

For some players, however, it can be a road to nowhere. Japanese coaches are inclined to demand orthodox playing styles, while most teams — SoftBank is currently one of the exceptions — do not instruct players in proper weight training or nutrition. Most teams follow the old school dogma that running is the best way to build bodies for baseball, that weight training is a Pandora’s box, and that the only necessary nutrition comes from eating a lot.

And while living conditions are safe compared to the squalor that passes for normal in the North American minor leagues, young Japanese minor leaguers live in spartan dormitories, with strict rules and curfews.

This is all normal stuff for Japanese kids, many of whom have been living in team dormitories since high school, and who are used to following every order from a coach to the letter. In such an environment, kids who lack confidence can find themselves trying to play in ways that match a coach’s philosophy but don’t get the most out of their individual skills.

The Orix BlueWave tried to do that to Ichiro Suzuki in 1992 and 1993, trying to turn him into a guy who only bunts and slaps the ball to the left side of the infield despite the fact that he was head-and-shoulders above every minor league hitter in Japan as an 18-year-old.

Those who embrace Japan can flourish

For those reasons alone, Japan is not easy. Add to those a language barrier and a baseball cultural barrier and it is harder. But those who are willing to take whatever comes and humble themselves to the task of learning, Japanese baseball offers things that minor league baseball cannot.

Japan can teach a lot simply by not being American in approach. Pitchers have to learn different ways to strike out hitters because there is a subclass of hitters who are only trying to foul pitches off until they can slap it to the left side of the infield. You can’t just bury a two-strike slider and get a swing and miss because most batters won’t bite. Adjusting to that is an education.

Boras mentioned all of Japan’s current major league starting pitchers. Not all have established themselves as huge stars, but they have one thing in common. They all locate their secondary pitches well and all field their positions extremely well. Those things are considered basics in Japan. Stewart will do more PFP (pitchers fielding practice) in four months this year with SoftBank than he’d do in four years in the North American minors. Becoming accustomed to the preparation demanded here is different, and that too is an education.

Stewart said he recognized Japanese players’ passion for baseball and discipline. While some of that an artifact of an authoritarian system, baseball here is not so different from baseball anywhere else. Respectful players who are passionate about learning will find coaches who are passionate about teaching. And because the focus of the game here is a little different, a little more small ball than in the States, there are things to learn here that coaches won’t teach you back home.

Those differences are an education.

But Japan isn’t a baseball superpower

The way Boras spoke about NPB’s development prowess, one would expect to see Japanese talent overrunning MLB. But it ain’t happening.

A small measure of the reason for that can be laid at NPB’s doorstep — particularly the historical hesitation to teach players weight training and proper nutrition. But the real culprit is an amateur system that wipes out the best players at an early age through injury and authoritarian training methods.

Elementary and junior high school pitchers throw excessively until their arms are damaged beyond repair by the time they reach high school. A large number of Japan’s best pro arms don’t take up pitching until late in high school or university.

A lot of kids are also burned out by the excessive year-round practice and the endless running. Rui Hachimura, who is expected to go high in the next NBA draft, loved baseball as a boy growing up in Toyama Prefecture, but the mind-numbing soul-sapping practice that is considered proper by old-school coaches drove him away.

A lot of Japanese pro pitchers still throw marathon bullpens, because that is what they are accustomed to. However, few pro teams now think it is a practice that leads to improved pitching.

Japanese pro baseball gets players who were not the best athletes of their elementary and junior high school teams because those kids are culled from the herd by antiquated practices. But it is doing much better with the players it gets than it did two decades ago.

Carter Stewart can change the world

Carter Stewart hasn’t thrown a baseball in anger as a member of the SoftBank Hawks, but his arrival in Japan, as the first big-name American amateur to turn pro with a Japanese team, could cause a ripple effect through baseball’s labor markets. It could mean an end to the posting system or more money for U.S. amateurs from MLB.

Say it again: “This is MLB’s fault”

Although the Hawks signing Stewart is news, it is not a new story. His signing is made possible by MLB and its union conspiring to deprive amateur players of the right to fair value for their service, and MLB’s choice to further clamp down on the below-subsistence wages paid to minor league players.

Without those two factors, no Japanese club is going to spend what it would be worth to lure a top amateur to NPB, at least not as long as the economic structure in NPB continues without significant change.

But with MLB’s draft signing pool bonuses, draft slot values, and the criminal level of pay in the minor leagues, Japanese teams can now pay the best American amateurs less than they’re worth but vastly more than MLB clubs can.

Sure, there’s a limit on having four players on each team’s active roster in Japan, but NPB clubs could theoretically have up to 52 foreign players under contract, not including those on developmental contracts, who don’t count against each organization’s 70-man official roster.

Japan was in a similar bind 25 years ago

A quarter of a century ago, Nippon Professional Baseball’s owners were bullied into allowing the Yomiuri Giants sign their big name veteran stars by agreeing to the introduction of free agency after the 1993 season.

What was intended as a way for the country’s biggest-name franchise to enrich itself at the expense of its business partners became something else altogether within two years. The free agent system was predicated on owners’ belief that competition in the majors was too hard for Japanese players.

Unfortunately, for the NPB owners, that belief was proved wrong in the most dramatic fashion by pitcher Hideo Nomo.

Jean Afterman, then working with Nomo’s agent Don Nomura, found the loophole needed to punish NPB for its arrogance. Because NPB rules considered Japanese players to be inferior and incapable of playing in the majors, they were permitted to play abroad after retiring in Japan.

So Nomo “retired” and became Japan’s first free agent import to the major leagues. Although NPB closed that loophole within a few years, the free agent route that was meant to enrich the Yomiuri Giants with Japan’s top talent, soon became a highway for Japanese stars to leave for the major leagues.

This could be something big — or not

The question then is whether this type of deal will become a supply line for Japanese baseball to upgrade its talent base at the expense of MLB.

In order for that to happen, Japanese teams will need to handle the players and develop them in a sustainable relationship with MLB so the international rules don’t change at the whim of MLB and its union.

The Japanese side of the equation

The SoftBank Hawks were perfectly placed for this kind of venture. They have the money, the infrastructure, the patience, and the will. Since SoftBank’s founder Masayoshi Son took over the club in 2005, he has aspired to field the world’s best baseball team and has frequently pestered his staff to sign the biggest names available.

Son has repeatedly challenge major league owners to an international championship series between the NPB and MLB champs, something that will happen the second MLB owners think it’s profitable.

The Hawks have invested heavily in development and in their medical side. While other clubs expect first-year pros to make an immediate impact, Hawks newcomers have to slog their way through an impressive logjam of minor league talent to even get a shot at the top.

The Hawks are an exception, but with the will, a few other teams, the PL’s Rakuten Eagles and the CL’s Giants, Hiroshima Carp and DeNA BayStars could join them in a true money ball campaign — exploiting the sizeable gap between what MLB requires amateurs be paid and what they are worth to Japanese teams. In 2023, when the Nippon Ham Fighters open their new stadium outside Sapporo and begin generating huge amounts of revenue, they could become players as well.

The Carp probably won’t go down this road, although they are well situated to expand into MLB’s Dominican Republic player pool because of their academy in that country. Hiroshima is focused on recycling talented players who fail in their first shot with big league clubs but are not willing to see their baseball dreams die.

But for now, it’s just the Hawks.

The MLB side of the equation

The market solution on the MLB side is to increase the amount of the signing bonus pools and draft slot allocations so that those amounts at least equal the value of those players to NPB teams — eliminating the demand for those players by raising the prices.

But that’s not what MLB does, and doing so would require negotiations with its union to alter the details of the CBA.

The posting system, however, is not included in the CBA. Though the agreement must conform to the CBA and the union must sign off on it — as it did in December 2017. But because either MLB or NPB can back out of the deal with a few months notice, it’s an easy way for either side to fire a shot across the bow.

With the union’s cooperation, MLB could also take more drastic measures, such as instituting its own “Tazawa Rule” — named for Junichi Tazawa, because it effectively banned him from playing in NPB because he turned pro with the Boston Red Sox rather than submit to NPB’s draft. MLB could banish players who turn pro in Japan, but that seems like too drastic of a solution, and the Tazawa Rule hasn’t prevented Japanese from following his path.

The posting system

Ironically, punishing the Hawks by eliminating the posting system might be part of SoftBank’s grand plan, since the club has never used it and is opposed to its existence. That being said, the Hawks can use the posting process as part of their plan with Stewart.

If the deal is for six years, from June 2019 to June 2025, Stewart will qualify as an international free agent under current rules on Nov. 3, 2024, exactly when the posting period begins. If Stewart develops and has value, he will have options. SoftBank being SoftBank, they’d prefer Stewart to stay in Japan and sign an extension, but without an extension, Carter would be able to move to the States as a free agent when his contract expires.

Using the posting system prior to the 2025 season would allow the Hawks to recoup all the costs incurred with signing and training Stewart and essentially get paid to benefit from all his contributions. It’s also the reason why other clubs might jump on this train. They could make a profit signing and posting American amateurs, and eliminating the posting system would put a damper on that part of the business.

Still, the Hawks would be happy to see the posting system gone, because if it remains in place and Stewart has that option, SoftBank will have a hard time denying the requests of its Japanese stars, read Kodai Senga, who want to leave early.

But sooner or later, the Hawks are going to have to fall in line and post players if the system remains in place. That’s because at some point they’ll want to sign a player who will only work for a club that promises an early exit to the majors, read Roki Sasaki.null

The Shohei Ohtani example

Shohei Ohtani is one reason why MLB would like to weaken the posting system and raise the age of international free agency. If Japan’s best amateurs think it’s easier to get to the majors through free agency by going through NPB and the posting system, it will be even harder for MLB to sign kids like Roki Sasaki, which is the big league’s ultimate wet dream.

Being major league baseball, they think no one can teach professionals the way they can be prepared through in the minor leagues with all the soul-sapping crappy treatment that entails. But the real reason is the control that comes with signing amateurs. MLB is all about control, if it weren’t we wouldn’t see blatant service time manipulation.

If Japanese teams could take the best high school stars and promise to post them at the age of 23 so they could be international free agents, everyone would benefit, the NPB teams, the players, MLB. The only thing it would cost the MLB teams is control, and they put an awfully high value on that.

The problem is that by worrying so much about control, MLB guys lose sight of one fact, that Japan is a great place to learn how to play baseball.

The advantage of a Japanese education

There are things players won’t see in Japan, like a lot of 100 mile-per-hour fastballs, but other than that, you name it and Japanese baseball has it.

When a player ventures out of the minors and into Central and Pacific league, he faces some incredible pitchers, guys who can locate their fastball and then use NPB’s stickier baseball to throw some of the wickedest breaking balls in the world. Because the talent depth is thinner, there are pitchers who lack command and control, too, guys who throw more fat pitches that can be exploited.

“A lot can be gained from playing here. Playing in Japan is a great way to develop a hitter. Look what happened with Shohei Ohtani. He’s an elite hitter and an elite pitcher. That couldn’t have happened in the States.”

Former Detroit Tigers and San Diego Padres GM Randy Smith

For a pitcher, there is less pressure from lineups where every batter is trying to take you deep, but those batters are there along with guys who can foul off one good pitch after another, and are really, really hard to strike out.

Players also get used to playing in pressure situations in meaningful games in front of large crowds. If minor league baseball are less meaningful because one goal of every player is to get promoted, NPB games are more meaningful because they are all about winning, and there is value in that.

The other side is the fanatical amount of discipline and practice, which can be a good thing if a player embraces it. Another advantage is a good diet, a place to live in the team dormitory, a healthy diet and easy access to training facilities.

What this means for Carter Stewart

It means an opportunity to learn more about pitching than he would ever learn in the United States. If there is a weakness in the Japanese system, it is that so many talented pitchers never survive the nation’s old-school youth baseball traditions.

Some NPB training methods are obsolete, and most pro coaches tend to teach players to follow established models rather than find what works best for them as individuals. In that, however, there are messages worth learning if one can handle the often authoritarian way in which those messages are delivered. If Stewart can handle that, remain humble, remember that he is coming to learn and improve, he will excel to the degree he is physically and mentally able to handle.

Simply by reaching out to Stewart, the Hawks have instantly changed the way MLB views Japan since this is something it considered impossible. If Stewart succeeds and comes out of this as a world-class player, that will be a further shock to MLB owners who have shown little but disdain for Japanese baseball.